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Golden Knights at Sharks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James Neal's goal at 15:10 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 3.7; shots on goal were VGK 33, SJS 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (35 saves, .921), 2. David Perron (2 A), 3. Brent Burns (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury35 saves, .921
  2. ★★
    VGK
    D. Perron2 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    B. Burns3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK14117312533
SJSSJS11619113338

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns (36), T. Meier (7)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:40
  2. VGK
    D. Perron (35), C. Miller (22)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:00

2nd period

  1. VGK
    slapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:37
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(13)PPG
    B. Burns (37), C. Tierney (12)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    11:47

3rd period

  1. SJS
    B. Burns (38), L. Couture (18)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    7:45
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +30 pts
    3-3
    9:36
  3. VGK
    D. Perron (36), C. Miller (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +40 pts
    4-3
    15:10
  4. VGK
    R. Smith (29), N. Schmidt (21)
    wristxG 0.80win prob +2 pts
    5-3
    18:39

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:19VGKShea Theodore · Slashingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min

2nd

  • 4:10VGKJonathan Marchessault · Holdingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 5:02SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:13VGKCody Eakin · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 12:46SJSMelker Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Deryk Engelland2 min

3rd

  • 3:09SJSMikkel Boedker · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 6:47VGKAlex Tuch · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 10:11SJSChris Tierney · Trippingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 17:47SJSDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalVGK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: James Neal, 3rd 15:10 — VGK 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.20B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.18J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.16J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.13K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.12B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.10J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.06J. Ward · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.05M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.00M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 3.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSJS
4.04 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.64 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK44%56%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD011+310.04200—22:50
3B. McNabbD101+210.08020—22:39
5D. EngellandD000020.10150—21:39
27S. TheodoreD000-130.24002—19:36
56E. HaulaL101+220.403104818:47
57D. PerronL022+240.46100—18:04
18J. NealL101+230.21000—17:47
71W. KarlssonC101+130.380004517:26
19R. SmithR022+110.16100—17:13
81J. MarchessaultR112+141.231022916:57
6C. MillerD022+100.00200—16:55
77B. HuntD000+140.12000—13:22
41P. BellemareL000-120.09010—13:19
40R. CarpenterC000-110.091005012:50
89A. TuchR000-100.132125012:41
21C. EakinC011+100.000126311:24
24O. LindbergL011+100.00400—10:13
13B. LeipsicL000+120.30000—09:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)38353.9213.66+0.6659:49

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).