Skip to content
Ducks at Sabres
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
3
Final/OTTV PRIME, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime, Adam Henrique scoring at 1:36. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 1:36 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 33, BUF 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.9 goals below expected; Robin Lehner stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Henrique (1 G), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA0112141711433
BUFBUF1131511500333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(6)SHG
    C. Nelson (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    3:22

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(22)PPG
    R. Getzlaf (27), C. Fowler (18)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    0:21
  2. BUF
    J. Eichel(21)PPG
    S. Reinhart (12), K. Okposo (22)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    17:18
  3. ANA
    O. Kase(14)
    J. Manson (22), N. Ritchie (12)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:21

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Perry(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    11:30
  2. BUF
    R. O'Reilly(15)
    J. Eichel (30), S. Reinhart (13)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    19:45

Overtime

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(16)
    O. Kase (11), B. Montour (16)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:36

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:23BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 10:56ANARyan Kesler · Roughingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 16:03BUFEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 18:42BUFKyle Okposo · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

2nd

  • 12:28ANAKorbinian Holzer · Holdingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 12:28BUFJustin Falk · Trippingdrawn by Korbinian Holzer2 min
  • 17:10ANAJT Brown · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalANA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, OT 1:36 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.09J. Josefson · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.06K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.05J. Josefson · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01C. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF3 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsBUF
3.34 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA61%39%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsBUF
33
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011030.12000—26:34
47H. LindholmD000030.08020—25:42
42J. MansonD011020.01000—22:21
17R. KeslerC000-120.533024220:38
15R. GetzlafC011040.341102520:15
10C. PerryR101020.81010—19:17
67R. RakellR101020.210105019:13
33J. SilfverbergR000-120.45120—18:33
26B. MontourD011+210.03200—18:28
14A. HenriqueC101010.030405618:03
25O. KaseR112+220.18000—17:00
3K. BieksaD000010.03310—16:47
37N. RitchieL011+130.37110—13:22
7A. CoglianoC000010.00000012:44
5K. HolzerD000000.00112—08:58
21C. WagnerR000020.05400—08:08
71J. BrownR000010.03002—08:00
38D. GrantC000010.040008006:37
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)33303.9092.12-0.8861:36

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).