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Ducks at Senators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Ottawa Senators
▸2
Final/OTTV PRIME, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-1 in overtime, Erik Karlsson scoring at 0:32. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 0:32 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 31, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Condon stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Condon (30 saves, .968), 3. Bobby Ryan (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Condon30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Ryan1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA0140411300131
OTTOTT0110611411232

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Ryan(7)PPG
    M. Hoffman (19), E. Karlsson (29)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +26 pts
    0-1
    4:37
  2. ANA
    R. Kesler(5)
    R. Rakell (21), C. Fowler (15)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +44 pts
    1-1
    19:06

Overtime

  1. OTT
    E. Karlsson(5)PPG
    M. Duchene (15), M. Hoffman (20)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:32

Penalties

ANA 10 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:20OTTErik Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

2nd

  • 6:02OTTChristopher DiDomenico · Interferencedrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 17:07ANARyan Kesler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Condon2 min

3rd

  • 2:38OTTRyan Dzingel · Trippingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 2:38ANAChris Wagner · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 3:13ANAJakob Silfverberg · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 8:08ANARyan Kesler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:24ANAAdam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalANA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, OT 0:32 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.29R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.22C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.17T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.17B. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.16D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.14E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.04N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.00M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsOTT
2.41 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.51 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.90 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA38%62%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsOTT
31
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
28
8
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD011+110.01000—23:59
15R. GetzlafC000+140.263005922:36
26B. MontourD000+120.04030—21:14
47H. LindholmD000010.03210—21:10
67R. RakellR011+140.3210010020:38
42J. MansonD000010.10010—19:34
33J. SilfverbergR000040.48402—19:07
3K. BieksaD000020.02110—17:33
17R. KeslerC101+130.333144517:08
23F. BeaucheminD000020.02300—15:40
10C. PerryR000+110.23100—15:21
14A. HenriqueC000020.182025713:52
71J. BrownR000010.12300—12:57
50A. VermetteC000010.031103312:26
7A. CoglianoC000000.01000011:56
25O. KaseR000000.00000—10:29
21C. WagnerR000000.00502—10:22
37N. RitchieL000020.18000—08:47
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(O)32302.9383.14+1.1459:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).