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St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-MW, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Krejci's goal at 12:32 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were STL 33, BOS 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (32 saves, .970), 2. David Krejci (1 G), 3. Jake Allen (43 saves, .956).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Allen43 saves, .956

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01406113133
BOSBOS19022215346

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:32

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    9:05
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    1-2
    18:28
  3. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.95win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:59

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

3rd

  • 8:35STLVladimir Tarasenko · Hookingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 9:33STLVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
  • 9:33BOSTim Schaller · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:20BOSZdeno Chara · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalSTL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Krejci, 1st 12:32 — BOS 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.95D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.25D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.23D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.17D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.16T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.12D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.09T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.08A. McQuaid · Missed · xG 0.08S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.07D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.07D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 4.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsBOS
2.81 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.41 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL44%56%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsBOS
33
Shots on goal
46
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
37
Hits
30
19
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
9
21
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000-110.07330—24:37
10B. SchennC011030.444004322:08
91V. TarasenkoR011010.07112—21:08
55C. ParaykoD000030.16210—20:55
19J. BouwmeesterD000040.15000—20:27
17J. SchwartzL101050.59220—20:19
6J. EdmundsonD000-130.10520—20:18
29V. DunnD000+120.10012—18:30
20A. SteenL000020.14310—17:22
26P. StastnyC000-120.320006516:25
71V. SobotkaC000-100.082006714:53
49I. BarbashevL000020.25300—13:50
21P. BerglundC000-110.152006012:53
41R. BortuzzoD000010.01430—12:51
32T. ThompsonC000-100.00100012:32
28K. BrodziakC000010.021203110:48
23D. JaskinR000010.01210—10:30
9S. UpshallR000010.16220—09:08
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)45432.9563.21+1.2157:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).