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Islanders at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, SN·Air Canada Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Islanders 5-0. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 13:39 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 28, TOR 50. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 45 of 50 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Dermott (1 G, 1 A), 2. Justin Holl (1 G), 3. Frederik Andersen (28 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    T. Dermott1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Holl1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    F. Andersen28 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI03011014028
TORTOR213219118550

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    K. Kapanen(3)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:37
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(23)
    Z. Hyman (18), J. Gardiner (27)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:39

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(8)
    N. Kadri (12), C. Carrick (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    10:32
  2. TOR
    T. Dermott(1)
    W. Nylander (27)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    18:59

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Holl(1)
    A. Matthews (16), T. Dermott (2)
    wristxG 0.01
    0-5
    3:42

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 11:22TORAndreas Borgman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:19NYIJohn Tavares · High stickingdrawn by Connor Carrick2 min

3rd

  • 10:07NYIThomas Hickey · Interferencedrawn by Connor Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYI goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 1st 13:39 — TOR 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.39A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.20L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.17T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.17N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.13P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.11P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.10L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.06L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04T. Dermott · Goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03C. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03D. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Borgman · On goal · xG 0.02L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.02L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02A. Borgman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Borgman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02D. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02D. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · Goal · xG 0.01A. Borgman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 4.2 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTOR
1.70 G
All situations
5 G4.2
1.40 G
Even strength
5 G3.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI15%85%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 4.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
50
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
39
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4D. SeidenbergD000-110.02250—20:34
50A. PelechD000-220.02100—20:20
42S. MayfieldD000-400.03210—20:18
2N. LeddyD000-310.03200—19:40
12J. BaileyR000-240.25000—19:03
91J. TavaresC000050.403024018:56
14T. HickeyD000010.04212—18:50
6R. PulockD000020.16420—18:42
72A. BeauvillierR000-250.321005018:25
27A. LeeL000-200.00210—15:58
29B. NelsonC000000.030104415:21
7J. EberleR000-300.00510—14:39
16A. LaddL000-110.01400—14:37
13M. BarzalC000-410.010004613:49
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.07200—13:03
56T. FritzC000-100.071203812:12
53C. CizikasC000020.267205011:19
25J. ChimeraL000010.01100—10:14
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)50455.9004.17-0.8360:00

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).