Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, TSN3·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the San Jose Sharks 5-4 in overtime, Bryan Little scoring at 0:18. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 0:18 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 23, SJS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.4 goals below expected; Aaron Dell stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Little (2 G, 1 A), 2. Timo Meier (1 G), 3. Joe Thornton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Little2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Meier1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Thornton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG360111511523
SJSSJS1921411000433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers (17), B. Little (20)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:18
  2. WPG
    A. Copp (11), J. Trouba (16)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:32
  3. WPG
    B. Little(9)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    11:56
  4. SJS
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    19:14

2nd period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    9:38
  2. SJS
    C. Tierney(12)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    13:25

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev (8), T. Myers (20)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +35 pts
    4-3
    11:38
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    15:20

Overtime

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    0:18

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·SJS 19 PIM

1st

  • 8:13SJSTomas Hertl · Boardingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov5 min
  • 8:13SJSTomas Hertl · Game misconductdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov10 min
  • 8:13WPGJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

2nd

  • 4:17WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:43WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 9:00WPGMathieu Perreault · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 9:00SJSBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 15:20WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 16:27SJSserved by T. Meier · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalWPG goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, OT 0:18 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.18M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.17T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.13L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.10J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.09M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.08J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.07M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hansen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSJS
2.15 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.94 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSJS
23
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
19
26
Hits
25
23
Blocked shots
21
11
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00360—26:20
8J. TroubaD011+130.12212—25:41
33D. ByfuglienD011-200.11132—24:58
57T. MyersD022+200.00000—20:37
18B. LittleC213+140.491105719:34
26B. WheelerR000-100.040044618:40
27N. EhlersL022+130.24210—17:27
85M. PerreaultC112010.09612017:15
39T. EnstromD000-120.06020—17:10
29P. LaineL000-110.23010—17:08
9A. CoppC011+210.013005315:03
40J. ArmiaR202+250.27000—14:47
13B. TanevL011+210.03320—13:44
52J. RoslovicC000-200.15110013:39
81K. ConnorL000010.01010—10:42
15M. HendricksC000-100.241205709:30
56M. DanoC000-110.04200005:53
5D. KulikovD000+100.00110—03:04
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)33294.8792.65-1.3560:18

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).