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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Flyers scored first; the Rangers answered. The Rangers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Carey's goal at 19:50 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 26, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.1 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rick Nash (2 G), 2. Henrik Lundqvist (25 saves, .962), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Nash2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1709010126
NYRNYR3821308529

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:06
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:30
  3. NYR
    J. Miller(9)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:50
  4. NYR
    P. Carey(6)SHG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    19:50

2nd period

  1. NYR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    10:48
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    17:28

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:32PHIValtteri Filppula · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 18:05NYRJesper Fast · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 8:28PHIJakub Voracek · Hookingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 13:50NYRBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 18:33NYRJesper Fast · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Weal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Carey, 1st 19:50 — NYR 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.20R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.19P. Carey · Goal · xG 0.18B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.11R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.08M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
2.01 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI44%56%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
30
6
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53S. GostisbehereD000060.26010—22:20
9I. ProvorovD000-320.15120—21:41
47A. MacDonaldD000010.00110—19:58
14S. CouturierC000-220.080005019:18
8R. HaggD000-110.01600—18:46
28C. GirouxR000-220.180007818:37
93J. VoracekR000-200.03102—17:47
23B. ManningD000-220.03200—17:39
3R. GudasD011010.04310—16:10
17W. SimmondsR011+110.30200—15:59
40J. WealC101010.17000014:48
19N. PatrickC000-120.261006914:40
12M. RafflL000010.15110—14:30
11T. KonecnyR000-120.15100—14:01
51V. FilppulaC000000.000022014:01
15J. LehteraC000-100.00000013:03
21S. LaughtonC000-120.181005712:25
20T. LeierL000000.00000—10:59
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(L)21165.7621.93-3.0740:00
30M. Neuvirth8801.0000.34+0.3420:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).