Jets at Blackhawks 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Winnipeg Jets

Chicago Blackhawks

▸2

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Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Kampf's goal at 4:51 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 32, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jeff Glass stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Glass (31 saves, .969), 2. Jan Rutta (1 G), 3. David Kampf (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

★
J. Glass31 saves, .969
★★
J. Rutta1 G
★★★
D. Kampf1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	07	011	114	132
CHI	06	212	09	227

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

D. Kampf(1)
C. Murphy (7), A. DeBrincat (14)
tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
0-1
4:51
J. Rutta(5)
A. Duclair (7), D. Kampf (4)
wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
0-2
16:25

3rd period

P. Laine(20)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
1-2
16:19

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

10:17Vinnie Hinostroza · Closing hand on puck2 min
19:08Dustin Byfuglien · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

2nd

8:05Dmitry Kulikov · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
10:51served by P. Sharp · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

0:18Mathieu Perreault · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
13:01Jonathan Toews · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

100%

Biggest swing: David Kampf, 2nd 4:51 — CHI 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att CHI

2 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.21 G
All situations: 2 G2.5; 1.51 G
Even strength: 2 G1.7; 0.70 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

50%50%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

32
Shots on goal: 27; 46%
Faceoffs: 54%; 0/3
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 36
Hits: 13; 13
Blocked shots: 17; 4
Giveaways: 6; 5
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
33D. ByfuglienD	0	0	-1	3	0.13	4	2	2	—	23:35
8J. TroubaD	0	0	+1	3	0.06	1	1	0	—	21:13
18B. LittleC	0	0	0	3	0.22	2	0	0	52	21:09
26B. WheelerR	0	0	+1	1	0.10	4	0	0	33	20:29
85M. PerreaultC	0	0	0	3	0.34	3	2	2	100	19:21
44J. MorrisseyD	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	4	0	—	19:13
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	0	—	19:12
29P. LaineL	1	1	+1	5	0.41	0	0	0	—	18:41
57T. MyersD	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	—	17:38
81K. ConnorL	0	0	+1	1	0.17	1	1	0	—	17:04
5D. KulikovD	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	1	2	—	15:58
39T. EnstromD	0	0	-1	1	0.11	1	1	0	—	15:40
9A. CoppC	0	0	-1	1	0.12	2	0	0	45	14:28
40J. ArmiaR	0	0	0	2	0.07	4	1	0	100	14:08
52J. RoslovicC	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	0	0	50	13:00
16S. MatthiasL	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	0	0	—	10:47
15M. HendricksC	0	0	-1	1	0.04	4	0	0	40	08:03
56M. DanoC	0	0	-1	2	0.22	1	0	0	0	06:02

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)	27	25	2	.926	2.20	+0.20	58:19

Season series

CHI leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score