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Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN-US, WGN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 19:50 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 33, CHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 29 (.862); Anton Forsberg stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (32 saves, .970), 2. Brandon Saad (1 G), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    A. Forsberg32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    CHI
    B. Saad1 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Toews1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM011111011133
CHICHI2151717429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    R. Hartman (13), J. Rutta (12)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    8:03
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:29

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:12
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    19:50

3rd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    9:52

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:44EDMPatrick Maroon · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 19:12EDMAdam Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

2nd

  • 0:53CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

3rd

  • 4:05EDMMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalEDM goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 2nd 19:50 — CHI 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.34P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.34P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.14L. Bouma · On goal · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.10J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.09G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.09J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.06J. Oesterle · Goal · xG 0.05P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.03J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02P. Sharp · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 3.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCHI
1.81 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM23%77%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCHI
33
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
30
Hits
18
27
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4K. RussellD000-120.04040—21:47
97C. McDavidC000060.590104321:07
77O. KlefbomD000-120.03150—20:59
25D. NurseD101-110.02340—20:07
83M. BenningD000-130.04310—19:22
29L. DraisaitlC000-100.102105819:04
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-110.020204018:21
88B. DavidsonD000-110.02230—18:21
6A. LarssonD000-100.00332—18:02
19P. MaroonL000030.18212—15:21
27M. LucicL000-100.001025014:44
16J. KhairaL000-220.143104014:39
13M. CammalleriL011020.10100—14:27
18R. StromeC000-140.200001414:07
98J. PuljujarviR000-130.16200—12:29
44Z. KassianR011000.00500—12:15
55M. LetestuC000-110.021002910:38
81Y. AuvituD000-120.13110—08:10
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)29254.8623.55-0.4560:00

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).