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Blues at Capitals
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
Final/OTTV FS-MW, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Nicklas Backstrom scoring at 4:17. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 4:17 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were STL 34, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.2 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alexander Steen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Steen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL072171802334
WSHWSH180621811433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    B. Connolly(9)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (18), J. Carlson (28)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    13:15

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(18)
    I. Barbashev (2), J. Edmundson (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:18
  2. STL
    A. Steen(6)PPG
    B. Schenn (26), A. Pietrangelo (22)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    5:02

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(27)PPG
    J. Carlson (29), N. Backstrom (26)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    8:00
  2. WSH
    L. Eller(6)
    T. Oshie (14), M. Bowey (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:49
  3. STL
    C. Gunnarsson(4)
    P. Berglund (2), T. Thompson (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:51

Overtime

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(9)
    T. Oshie (15)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:17

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:35STLKyle Brodziak · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 11:58STLCarl Gunnarsson · Holdingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

2nd

  • 4:18WSHDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 12:23WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

3rd

  • 1:57STLPatrik Berglund · Holdingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 7:57STLJay Bouwmeester · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, OT 4:17 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.30B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.20N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.16D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.13B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.12B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
3.73 G
All situations
4 G2.8
3.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.21 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL63%37%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.65 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
33
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011+140.19150—28:14
55C. ParaykoD000010.04000—25:26
6J. EdmundsonD011-120.04320—23:13
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.01112—22:46
91V. TarasenkoR101+160.75130—22:11
26P. StastnyC000040.550007121:52
20A. SteenL101-140.35010—20:24
10B. SchennC011-120.451004719:04
71V. SobotkaC000-220.3110010018:46
49I. BarbashevL011+100.13200—17:33
21P. BerglundC011+120.230127114:33
32T. ThompsonC011+120.24100012:17
28K. BrodziakC000+100.000123812:12
41R. BortuzzoD000020.06130—11:26
4C. GunnarssonD101+110.15122—11:17
9S. UpshallR000000.00300—11:01
56M. PaajarviL000020.21200—10:18
22C. ThorburnR000000.00100—04:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(O)33294.8792.84-1.1664:17

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).