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Islanders at Avalanche
NHL

New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche

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New York Islanders
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
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Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New York Islanders 6-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Nieto's goal at 5:25 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYI 28, COL 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 3. Carl Soderberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0807113128
COLCOL112423113648

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Nemeth(2)
    A. Kerfoot (15), S. Andrighetto (12)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:31

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(6)
    C. Soderberg (11), B. Comeau (9)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:25
  2. COL
    C. Soderberg(7)
    C. Wilson (6), E. Johnson (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    12:30
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(15)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (28), S. Girard (6)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    16:35
  4. COL
    G. Landeskog(16)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (29), S. Girard (7)
    wristxG 0.15
    0-5
    18:24

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(12)
    B. Nelson (4), S. Mayfield (8)
    slapxG 0.07
    1-5
    12:24
  2. COL
    E. Johnson(5)
    G. Landeskog (15), N. MacKinnon (30)
    backhandxG 0.13
    1-6
    13:04

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:51COLTyson Jost · Slashingdrawn by Alan Quine2 min
  • 17:53NYIBrock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 8:07COLCarl Soderberg · Kneeingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 15:20NYIAdam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 16:35NYIserved by M. Barzal · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 16:35NYIserved by M. Barzal · Game misconduct head coach0 min
  • 18:15NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

3rd

  • 1:48COLAndrei Mironov · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNYI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Nieto, 2nd 5:25 — COL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.23B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.21C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.21T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.18G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.18C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.15G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.15C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.14E. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.12G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.08P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.08M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.08P. Nemeth · Goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.07S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCOL
1.61 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.21 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
48
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
23
1
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000-230.06020—24:06
42S. MayfieldD011+110.04062—20:47
50A. PelechD000010.03122—20:14
14T. HickeyD000-110.20330—20:03
16A. LaddL000-130.19100—18:59
12J. BaileyR101-120.11010—17:18
91J. TavaresC000-320.140006417:16
13M. BarzalC000030.100004517:15
28S. AhoD000-220.08010—15:57
7J. EberleR000-100.00110—15:20
27A. LeeL000-230.37100—15:14
6R. PulockD000-210.02000—14:59
53C. CizikasC000000.001105814:58
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.02310—14:48
29B. NelsonC011+110.071023312:25
25J. ChimeraL000-110.02200—11:53
10A. QuineC000020.042102911:16
72A. BeauvillierR000010.120005010:10
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)35305.8573.05-1.9539:58
1T. Greiss13121.9230.42-0.5820:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).