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Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FS-W, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew Doughty's goal at 6:49 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 36, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nic Dowd (1 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Dowd1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21501328436
VANVAN1711117325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:31
  2. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:04
  3. LAK
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    14:04

2nd period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:31

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    0:41
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.30win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    2:22
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    6:49

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:19LAKAdrian Kempe · Elbowingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 13:44VANMarkus Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Alec Martinez2 min

2nd

  • 18:30VANBen Hutton · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalLAK goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Drew Doughty, 3rd 6:49 — LAK 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.18S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.17N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.15T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.12N. Goldobin · Goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.10T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.05M. Chaput · Missed · xG 0.05A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.00H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsVAN
2.94 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.53 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK68%32%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.88 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
19
2
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101030.26010—30:58
27A. MartinezD000-110.03140—24:47
24D. ForbortD000010.01230—23:51
6J. MuzzinD000+110.09520—22:36
11A. KopitarC000-140.211005718:55
23D. BrownR000-120.13410—17:11
70T. PearsonL000-130.33200—16:40
73T. ToffoliC123+240.3600010016:27
12M. GaborikR112+130.28000—16:25
22T. LewisC022+120.1620010016:17
21N. ShoreC000+230.250005515:01
9A. KempeR011+120.232023814:27
13K. CliffordL101+220.39100—13:39
71T. MitchellC000-200.000005011:45
19A. IafalloL000-220.05000—11:00
36J. JokinenL000-220.091006710:13
56K. MacDermidL000-100.00100—09:09
53K. GravelD011+110.00110—08:39
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)25223.8801.87-1.1360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).