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Wild at Predators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
0
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV FS-N, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Hartnell's goal at 2:23 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.7, NSH 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 29, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Scott Hartnell (1 G), 3. P.K. Subban (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    S. Hartnell1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Subban1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01008011029
NSHNSH08011310329

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. NSH
    S. Hartnell(5)
    N. Bonino (2), M. Irwin (5)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    0-1
    2:23
  2. NSH
    P. Subban(9)PPG
    C. Jarnkrok (9), R. Johansen (19)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    7:50
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(12)EN
    P. Subban (20), C. Jarnkrok (10)
    wristxG 0.53
    0-3
    17:40

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:54NSHP.K. Subban · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 10:51NSHColton Sissons · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 11:51MINMathew Dumba · Interferencedrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

2nd

  • 7:38MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 13:33MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 17:04MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min

3rd

  • 4:47NSHAustin Watson · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 6:27MINMathew Dumba · Trippingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMIN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Scott Hartnell, 3rd 2:23 — NSH 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.53V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.12C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.11R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.08K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06S. Hartnell · Goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Hartnell · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNSH
2.70 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN61%39%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNSH
29
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-130.08010—25:28
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.10230—24:15
25J. BrodinD000010.03010—21:44
12E. StaalC000-110.140006320:55
24M. DumbaD000010.02004—20:42
3C. CoyleC000-100.001107520:05
16J. ZuckerL000-130.22100—16:34
64M. GranlundC000-170.75010016:16
9M. KoivuC000010.200125515:52
39N. ProsserD000-110.02140—14:57
63T. EnnisR000030.27110—14:15
26D. WinnikL000000.040105013:32
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.091042513:22
23G. OlofssonD000-110.01020—13:00
7M. CullenC000-110.150003811:01
59Z. MitchellR000-100.00110—10:51
10C. StewartR000020.62000—09:34
17M. FolignoL000-110.01310—09:12
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)28262.9292.08+0.0859:02

Season series

MIN leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).