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Jets at Islanders
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSG+, TSN3·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 19:24 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were WPG 40, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Steve Mason stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.0 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (3 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (3 A), 3. Andrew Ladd (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Ladd2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG112010118240
NYINYI31207210529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(22)PPG
    J. Bailey (36), N. Leddy (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:31
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(10)
    J. Eberle (13), A. Ladd (8)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    2:20
  3. WPG
    T. Poolman(1)
    B. Chiarot (3), N. Ehlers (12)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:42
  4. NYI
    M. Barzal(11)
    J. Eberle (14), J. Boychuk (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:24

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(12)
    J. Eberle (15), A. Ladd (9)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:22
  2. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(4)
    J. Tavares (25)
    snapxG 0.16
    1-5
    15:01
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(7)
    K. Connor (10), J. Armia (9)
    wristxG 0.04
    2-5
    18:24

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:16WPGBrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 8:39WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:08NYIJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 14:09WPGMatt Hendricks · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 6:51NYIBrock Nelson · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

3rd

  • 15:13NYIScott Mayfield · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWPG goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 1st 19:24 — NYI 69% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.27J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.18M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.17S. Prince · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.16A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.16A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.15C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.14A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.11R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.09J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chimera · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI5 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYI
3.82 G
All situations
5 G3.0
3.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG63%37%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.78 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYI
40
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-220.18000—24:07
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.331005622:16
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.15200—21:16
26B. WheelerR000-120.40100—20:49
57T. MyersD000-120.07310—20:47
5D. KulikovD000-100.08100—19:13
29P. LaineL000-100.12000—18:24
27N. EhlersL011-130.35112—16:00
7B. ChiarotD011+110.09110—15:32
81K. ConnorL011040.60000—14:56
18B. LittleC000-120.080003314:42
3T. PoolmanD101+120.05120—14:31
17A. LowryC101030.183205514:05
85M. PerreaultC000030.36400013:43
9A. CoppC000-120.12110013:02
40J. ArmiaR011+140.34100—12:24
13B. TanevL000-120.23402—11:11
15M. HendricksC000030.072024208:47
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Mason(L)29245.8283.03-1.9760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).