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St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, FS-MW·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Sobotka's goal at 4:07 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 22, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 6 of 10 (.600), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (28 saves, .966), 2. Vladimir Sobotka (1 G), 3. Jay Bouwmeester (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Allen28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Sobotka1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Bouwmeester1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1436212622
DETDET0110919129

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    A. Steen (11), B. Schenn (21)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:50

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:07
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:17
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    16:26

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.27win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    7:18
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    9:00
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.06
    6-1
    19:17

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:12STLSammy Blais · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 14:03STLCarl Gunnarsson · Hookingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 19:13DETNiklas Kronwall · Interferencedrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

2nd

  • 1:05STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:19DETJonathan Ericsson · Holdingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 15:56DETTomas Tatar · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalSTL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Sobotka, 2nd 4:07 — STL 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nielsen · Goal · xG 0.27F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.18D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.16G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.15A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.12T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.11F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.09T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.08L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.08T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.08T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.06H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Green · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.02D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDET
1.56 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.36 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL29%71%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDET
22
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
7
7
Giveaways
8
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD022+310.00130—25:05
55C. ParaykoD000+220.01120—20:59
91V. TarasenkoR011+130.27200—20:09
20A. SteenL022+300.00000—19:58
19J. BouwmeesterD112+320.04010—19:19
10B. SchennC112+220.131023318:59
71V. SobotkaC101020.0212010018:35
6J. EdmundsonD011+200.00210—18:27
26P. StastnyC011020.091106718:13
29V. DunnD000000.05100—17:52
21P. BerglundC000+100.093103016:40
4C. GunnarssonD000000.00002—14:37
9S. UpshallR101+230.25300—13:15
23D. JaskinR101+220.28410—12:46
28K. BrodziakC000+200.002006312:39
56M. PaajarviL000000.00100—10:48
64S. BlaisL011+110.05102—09:52
17J. SchwartzL101+120.24010—05:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)29281.9662.60+1.6059:59

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).