Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 6:38 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 25, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tristan Jarry (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tom Kuhnhackl (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Jarry34 saves, 1.000

- ★★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Kuhnhackl1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-03:23
2-06:38
3-018:05
2nd period
4-019:20
Penalties
2nd
- 1:22
Bryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
- 7:09
Matt Hunwick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 9:40
Marco Scandella · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 15:46
Carl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
3rd
- 12:13
Brian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
- 15:22
Evander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 15:22
Bryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 6:38 — 59% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.64 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.0
- 1.44 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 1.95
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 29
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 5
- Giveaways
- 4
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 3-0
4@
5OTFinal
4@
0this game
1@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
