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Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres

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Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 6:38 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 25, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Robin Lehner stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tristan Jarry (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tom Kuhnhackl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    T. Jarry34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Kuhnhackl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT31111202425
BUFBUF0901609034

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    T. Kuhnhackl(1)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:23
  2. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:38
  3. PIT
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    18:05

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    19:20

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:22PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 7:09PITMatt Hunwick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:40BUFMarco Scandella · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 15:46PITCarl Hagelin · Trippingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 12:13PITBrian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 15:22BUFEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 15:22PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPIT goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 6:38 — PIT 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Criscuolo · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.13M. Moulson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Nolan · On goal · xG 0.06B. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.06B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02V. Antipin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Moulson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsBUF
1.64 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.44 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT43%57%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsBUF
25
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
29
14
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000010.02100—25:50
8B. DumoulinD000010.00242—22:03
3O. MaattaD000+120.06110—19:05
28I. ColeD000+210.03300—18:20
81P. KesselR000+110.03000—18:06
22M. HunwickD000+200.00102—17:40
59J. GuentzelC101+130.1310010016:50
15R. SheahanC000010.071007516:19
4J. SchultzD000+100.00010—16:19
87S. CrosbyC112+230.170004216:17
71E. MalkinC011+110.350104715:26
43C. ShearyL011+100.03010—15:12
72P. HornqvistR101+130.20210—14:10
62C. HagelinL000010.0400210014:02
17B. RustR000000.05114—13:17
37C. RowneyC000010.013002512:29
34T. KuhnhacklR101+250.40040—11:11
75R. ReavesR000+110.02300—07:24
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)343401.0001.97+1.9760:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).