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Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FS-D, FS-W·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dustin Brown's goal at 17:43 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 26% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 36, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Quick (23 saves, .958), 3. Dustin Brown (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01421329436
DETDET1110904124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:12

2nd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    17:43
  2. LAK
    A. Kopitar(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    19:53

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.41win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    0:58
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    12:17

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:50LAKDrew Doughty · Slashingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min
  • 14:20LAKTanner Pearson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 15:51DETJustin Abdelkader · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

2nd

  • 7:15DETJonathan Ericsson · High stickingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
  • 10:10DETMike Green · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 19:45DETDarren Helm · Interferencedrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

3rd

  • 4:08LAKDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalLAK goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Dustin Brown, 2nd 17:43 — LAK 26% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.16D. Booth · Missed · xG 0.16N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.15G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.14A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.14D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.13A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.11D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.07X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.07M. Green · Goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.05J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.05H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.04H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.03D. Booth · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsDET
2.84 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK60%40%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsDET
36
Shots on goal
24
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
7
3
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD022+110.02102—23:04
27A. MartinezD011+100.02120—21:59
6J. MuzzinD011+110.00300—20:48
7O. FantenbergD011+160.13210—19:54
24D. ForbortD000010.01312—18:19
11A. KopitarC213+130.500005218:18
70T. PearsonL000030.11102—17:34
5C. FolinD011000.00540—16:40
23D. BrownR101+150.24200—16:25
12M. GaborikR011+140.45000—15:47
22T. LewisC000+110.1420010015:31
21N. ShoreC000000.022003314:56
9A. KempeR101+130.640004614:51
73T. ToffoliC000010.02000014:18
19A. IafalloL000+120.21100—13:43
36J. JokinenL000020.020102511:41
17J. BrodzinskiC000020.25100010:32
26N. DowdC000010.023006709:49
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)24231.9582.25+1.2559:51

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).