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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

FinalTV FS-F, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 5-4. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Denis Malgin's goal at 18:51 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 27, NYR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. James Reimer stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.7 goals below expected; Ondrej Pavelec stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Denis Malgin (1 G), 2. Chris Kreider (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    D. Malgin1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA3611219527
NYRNYR01331618437

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    5:50
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:35
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    16:47

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    4:04
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    8:36
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    9:26
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    11:16

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.23win prob +37 pts
    4-4
    13:28
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.14win prob +48 pts
    5-4
    18:51

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:59NYRBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 10:53NYRSteven Kampfer · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by James Reimer2 min
  • 10:53FLAJames Reimer · Slashingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min
  • 18:18FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

2nd

  • 18:13NYRChris Kreider · Interferencedrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 18:24FLAVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min

3rd

  • 9:41FLAAlexander Petrovic · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Denis Malgin, 3rd 18:51 — FLA 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.23C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.22M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.21R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.17N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.16N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.16M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.09D. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.09B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.05P. Carey · Missed · xG 0.04N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.04B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
1.95 G
All situations
4 G3.3
1.94 G
Even strength
4 G2.9
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA25%75%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD022+220.03010—25:02
5A. EkbladD000000.06310—24:17
21V. TrocheckC000020.202045023:56
16A. BarkovC101+120.130006420:30
19M. MathesonD011+120.09020—20:24
13M. PysykD011-110.01020—18:00
7C. SceviourC011010.01200017:38
52M. WeegarD011020.02210—15:57
27N. BjugstadC011-110.1110010015:42
11J. HuberdeauL123+240.46000—15:35
6A. PetrovicD000-200.00032—15:24
88J. McGinnL101-110.08420—15:14
90J. McCannL000-120.361002213:54
25H. HaapalaL000-100.00100—11:40
73D. HuntL000020.03110—11:18
62D. MalginC101+120.16010011:13
17D. MacKenzieC000020.14300010:29
18M. HaleyL101010.07210—05:47
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(W)37334.8923.32-0.6860:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).