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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV FS-MW, FS-N·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Minnesota Wild 6-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitrij Jaskin's goal at 11:09 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 25, STL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 34 of 40 (.850), 2.5 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (2 G), 2. Sammy Blais (1 G), 3. Colton Parayko (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    S. Blais1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    C. Parayko2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN081928325
STLSTL31201939640

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Stastny(6)PPG
    V. Sobotka (8), A. Steen (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    6:15
  2. STL
    D. Jaskin(3)
    C. Thorburn (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:09
  3. STL
    J. Schwartz(12)
    V. Tarasenko (15)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:54

2nd period

  1. MIN
    C. Coyle(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    15:02

3rd period

  1. STL
    K. Brodziak(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    2:09
  2. MIN
    Z. Mitchell(2)PPG
    D. Winnik (4), T. Ennis (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    3:31
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(8)PPG
    M. Dumba (9), J. Zucker (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    3-4
    8:52
  4. STL
    J. Schwartz(13)PPG
    C. Parayko (9), V. Tarasenko (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    3-5
    11:36
  5. STL
    S. Blais(1)PPG
    A. Steen (9), C. Parayko (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    14:12

Penalties

MIN 21 PIM·STL 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:47STLJaden Schwartz · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 2:53MINNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 5:10MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 11:12STLChris Thorburn · Fightingdrawn by Chris Stewart5 min
  • 11:12MINChris Stewart · Fightingdrawn by Chris Thorburn5 min
  • 18:28MINKyle Quincey · High stickingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min

2nd

  • 9:52MINMarcus Foligno · Elbowingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 13:29MINMikko Koivu · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

3rd

  • 1:38STLAlexander Steen · Slashingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 7:14STLScottie Upshall · Interferencedrawn by Zack Mitchell2 min
  • 10:23MINRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 12:54MINJason Zucker · Slashingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 18:30MINMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Dmitrij Jaskin, 1st 11:09 — STL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.25C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.16S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.15J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.14K. Brodziak · Goal · xG 0.14A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.13O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.11S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.09D. Jaskin · Goal · xG 0.09C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.08J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.07C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05S. Upshall · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03S. Upshall · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
2.33 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.80 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.42 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
40
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/3
Power play
3/8
21
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
3
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000020.06112—25:12
46J. SpurgeonD000010.08130—24:41
25J. BrodinD000-110.00012—22:53
24M. DumbaD011-210.12032—21:48
12E. StaalC101-140.432005418:14
3C. CoyleC101030.315007317:29
9M. KoivuC000-110.101225016:25
26D. WinnikL011-100.00000—15:50
64M. GranlundC000-110.0401010015:31
16J. ZuckerL011+120.15112—15:05
27K. QuinceyD000-100.00112—14:30
22N. NiederreiterR000-210.38002—13:25
59Z. MitchellR101-120.312105013:10
63T. EnnisR011-130.28000—13:08
7M. CullenC000010.040105010:56
17M. FolignoL000020.03202—10:51
23G. OlofssonD000000.00000—09:55
10C. StewartR000000.00005—07:51
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)40346.8503.45-2.5560:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).