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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James Neal's goal at 11:18 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 49, ANA 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Maxime Lagace stopped 17 of 19 (.895); John Gibson stopped 45 of 49 (.918), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Haula, 2. John Gibson (45 saves, .918), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    E. Haula
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson45 saves, .918
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK020112317449
ANAANA171507219

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:16

2nd period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob -1 pts
    0-2
    5:59
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:07

3rd period

  1. VGK
    D. Perron (13), J. Neal (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:21
  2. VGK
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +34 pts
    3-2
    11:18
  3. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    18:00

Penalties

VGK 13 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:25VGKWilliam Carrier · Fightingdrawn by Mike Liambas5 min
  • 3:25ANAMike Liambas · Fightingdrawn by William Carrier5 min

2nd

  • 5:18VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 11:44ANAMike Liambas · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic2 min
  • 12:47VGKDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 18:06ANASami Vatanen · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:49VGKErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 4:02ANAMike Liambas · Holding the stickdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min
  • 12:01VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: James Neal, 3rd 11:18 — VGK 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.17C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.17K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.16J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.16K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.13S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.06C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.8 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.04 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK70%30%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
49
Shots on goal
19
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
8
0
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000+110.03010—24:34
3B. McNabbD000+110.05422—23:09
27S. TheodoreD011+120.05030—20:44
57D. PerronL022+110.133026019:46
5D. EngellandD000+120.02100—19:10
18J. NealL112+260.48100—18:55
56E. HaulaL000+100.092124218:36
19R. SmithR011+150.23100—17:37
71W. KarlssonC112+250.461005016:27
6C. MillerD101020.05210—15:40
21C. EakinC000-110.081001515:25
81J. MarchessaultR123+280.430025015:21
77B. HuntD000030.11000—14:26
13B. LeipsicL000-120.09000—12:47
89A. TuchR000-130.191103312:45
41P. BellemareL000000.010004411:59
24O. LindbergL000040.20300—10:48
28W. CarrierL000030.29105—05:10
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33M. Lagace(W)19172.8951.84-0.1660:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).