Skip to content
Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FS-TN, TSN3·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 0:26 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.3, NSH 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 35, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.7 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Johansen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11207216335
NSHNSH1531915529

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(2)
    P. Subban (11), V. Arvidsson (6)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    0-1
    3:31
  2. WPG
    M. Perreault(4)PPG
    T. Myers (6), B. Little (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    6:23

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(2)
    F. Forsberg (12), V. Arvidsson (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:26
  2. NSH
    K. Turris(5)PPG
    R. Josi (8), K. Fiala (11)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    11:32
  3. NSH
    M. Ekholm(5)PPG
    R. Josi (9), K. Turris (9)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    19:02

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(3)
    P. Subban (12), R. Johansen (11)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    9:16
  2. WPG
    T. Myers(3)
    M. Scheifele (14), K. Connor (6)
    wristxG 0.04
    2-5
    10:40
  3. WPG
    M. Perreault(5)
    J. Armia (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    16:04

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:30WPGMatt Hendricks · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 2:30NSHCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Matt Hendricks5 min
  • 5:32NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

2nd

  • 3:06WPGBen Chiarot · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto2 min
  • 10:57WPGDustin Byfuglien · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 17:43WPGPatrik Laine · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 7:15NSHMiikka Salomaki · Trippingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 2nd 0:26 — NSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.32K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.20N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.17R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.17C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.10K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.02A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.00R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.33 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG51%49%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
26
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000+130.06512—22:58
55M. ScheifeleC011-120.442004622:33
26B. WheelerR000-130.252202521:44
57T. MyersD112030.12220—20:35
8J. TroubaD000-320.04120—18:39
18B. LittleC011+110.060004118:27
44J. MorrisseyD000-220.03010—17:52
5D. KulikovD000+110.05000—17:36
29P. LaineL000020.10012—17:35
81K. ConnorL011-130.28100—17:33
7B. ChiarotD000+100.00102—17:31
27N. EhlersL000-120.01010—15:13
17A. LowryC000-110.143006314:02
13B. TanevL000-120.19320—13:38
85M. PerreaultC202+140.41000013:00
9A. CoppC000010.063005011:25
40J. ArmiaR011+130.07010—10:51
15M. HendricksC000000.003054507:04
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)29245.8282.28-2.7257:50

Season series

NSH leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).