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Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Florida Panthers 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Manson's goal at 18:57 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.2 to 3.7; shots on goal were FLA 52, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 25 of 28 (.893); John Gibson stopped 50 of 52 (.962), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (50 saves, .962), 2. Josh Manson (1 G), 3. Brandon Montour (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson50 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Manson1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Montour1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA016112124252
ANAANA16111111328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:57

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:22
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    15:26

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    1:30
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    17:01

Penalties

FLA 15 PIM·ANA 19 PIM

1st

  • 0:24FLAKeith Yandle · Trippingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 4:03FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Mike Liambas5 min
  • 4:03ANAMike Liambas · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min

2nd

  • 2:41ANAMike Liambas · Roughingdrawn by Ian McCoshen2 min
  • 3:58FLAAleksander Barkov · Trippingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 11:10ANAAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 14:11ANAAntoine Vermette · Interferencedrawn by Chase Balisy2 min
  • 17:08ANABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 0:27FLAVincent Trocheck · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:27ANAJohn Gibson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:11ANABrandon Montour · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:31FLAConnor Brickley · Roughingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 8:31ANASami Vatanen · Roughingdrawn by Connor Brickley2 min
  • 9:34FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalFLA goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Manson, 1st 18:57 — ANA 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.85B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.26J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.20A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.18J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.12K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.11H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03D. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsANA
4.22 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
2.01 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA72%28%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.22 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsANA
52
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/6
Power play
2/4
15
Penalty minutes
19
20
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3K. YandleD112+140.17052—27:26
5A. EkbladD000+190.48112—24:00
21V. TrocheckC112+150.412026723:55
16A. BarkovC022060.580025023:15
19M. MathesonD000-120.18040—21:55
63E. DadonovL000010.38010—21:43
11J. HuberdeauL000050.6110010021:02
13M. PysykD000-130.09200—18:16
90J. McCannL000040.280001516:21
7C. SceviourC000030.20210016:04
27N. BjugstadC000030.2220010014:47
88J. McGinnL000030.45100—13:44
52M. WeegarD000010.00200—12:57
23C. BrickleyL000010.12302—12:31
12I. McCoshenD000000.00200—08:40
50C. BalisyC000010.04000008:08
73D. HuntL000010.01200—05:15
18M. HaleyL000000.00005—04:08
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(L)28253.8932.86-0.1457:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).