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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV FS-MW, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Brayden Schenn scoring at 2:41. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 2:41 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 31, VAN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Stastny (3 A), 2. Sven Baertschi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    P. Stastny3 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    S. Baertschi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL191111813431
VANVAN172100600323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:44
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:34

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    5:23
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    10:58
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:10

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    4:46

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    2:41

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:33STLVladimir Sobotka · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min

2nd

  • 4:17VANBen Hutton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:34VANDerek Dorsett · Interferencedrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 7:24STLAlex Pietrangelo · High sticking double minordrawn by Brandon Sutter4 min
  • 14:55VANBen Hutton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:09STLJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 19:19VANAlexander Edler · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, OT 2:41 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.18B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.16B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.13S. Baertschi · Goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.10J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.09D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.04H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.04H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dorsett · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dorsett · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Dorsett · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
2.44 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL58%42%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
23
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011+130.07034—26:10
55C. ParaykoD101040.34130—22:53
6J. EdmundsonD101+120.09222—22:11
17J. SchwartzL011000.0010010020:33
91V. TarasenkoR000-150.67000—20:30
20A. SteenL000+110.0202010019:54
10B. SchennC101-130.202004119:49
71V. SobotkaC101+240.283125019:17
26P. StastnyC033+310.020005318:47
4C. GunnarssonD000010.02010—17:57
29V. DunnD022+110.10010—16:09
41R. BortuzzoD000+110.03110—14:39
70O. SundqvistC000000.000302912:16
28K. BrodziakC000020.421104412:04
9S. UpshallR011000.03200—10:48
23D. JaskinR000000.00100—09:27
22C. ThorburnR000030.14000—09:10
56M. PaajarviL000000.00100—07:55
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)23203.8702.02-0.9862:41

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).