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Senators at Avalanche
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
3
Final/OTTV NHLN-US, ALT·Ericsson Globe

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Mark Stone scoring at 0:59. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Stone's goal at 0:59 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 32, COL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.8 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (2 G), 2. Alexander Kerfoot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Fredrik Claesson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Stone2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Kerfoot1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Claesson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT2911201011432
COLCOL111131500319

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. Yakupov(5)PPG
    A. Kerfoot (5), C. Wilson (3)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    8:16
  2. OTT
    F. Claesson(1)
    M. Hoffman (10), E. Karlsson (13)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:36
  3. OTT
    M. Stone(10)
    J. Oduya (1), C. Wideman (4)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    15:10

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Kerfoot(6)
    B. Comeau (4), S. Girard (3)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    9:41
  2. OTT
    C. DiDomenico(3)
    D. Phaneuf (6), T. Pyatt (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    13:21

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(5)
    M. Rantanen (8), G. Landeskog (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    12:53

Overtime

  1. OTT
    M. Stone(11)
    D. Brassard (8), E. Karlsson (14)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:59

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:15OTTMike Hoffman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:46OTTAlexandre Burrows · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

2nd

  • 14:19COLJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Burrows2 min
  • 16:56COLGabriel Bourque · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 18:33OTTChris Wideman · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Matt Nieto0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalOTT goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Stone, OT 0:59 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.20M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.17R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.15M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.15N. Yakupov · Goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.09G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.09R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.07M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Bigras · Missed · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCOL
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.54 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT59%41%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCOL
32
Shots on goal
19
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+120.16200—22:30
61M. StoneR202+260.5330010021:14
5C. CeciD000-120.10150—21:13
19D. BrassardC011+210.082205018:33
29J. OduyaD011+220.12030—18:07
10T. PyattL011+100.01200—17:59
18R. DzingelC000+120.27000017:29
68M. HoffmanC011-100.00012017:21
95M. DucheneC000-120.410105016:44
67B. HarpurD000-100.00300—16:23
2D. PhaneufD011+110.02000—16:03
17N. ThompsonC000000.001107715:51
33F. ClaessonD101050.10100—15:29
14A. BurrowsR000020.17102—15:19
15Z. SmithC000-120.070008615:03
44J. PageauC000+120.341007114:25
49C. DiDomenicoL101+120.19100—11:42
6C. WidemanD011+110.06000—08:27
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)19163.8422.17-0.8360:34

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).