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Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, SUN·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 10:01 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 43, LAK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Peter Budaj stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL414019110543
LAKLAK091619224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    9:27
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    10:01
  3. TBL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    10:35
  4. TBL
    slapxG 0.18win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    11:29

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    17:31

3rd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    8:39
  2. TBL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    12:59

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·LAK 14 PIM

1st

  • 1:42TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 8:21LAKNic Dowd · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 8:21TBLVictor Hedman · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:35LAKMichael Amadio · Delaying game2 min

2nd

  • 2:13LAKJake Muzzin · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 6:36LAKAndy Andreoff · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 6:36TBLVladislav Namestnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Andy Andreoff2 min
  • 12:00LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:20LAKAlec Martinez · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 16:55TBLSteven Stamkos · Interferencedrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

3rd

  • 14:14TBLYanni Gourde · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Quick2 min
  • 17:05LAKJonathan Quick · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalTBL goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 1st 10:01 — TBL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.18A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.13T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.13O. Fantenberg · Goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10M. Cammalleri · Missed · xG 0.10A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.10T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.09M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.08A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07M. Cammalleri · Missed · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05M. Cammalleri · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacDermid · On goal · xG 0.01A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cammalleri · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01B. Laich · Missed · xG 0.01
LAK2 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsLAK
3.65 G
All situations
2 G2.7
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL64%36%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsLAK
43
Shots on goal
24
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
14
13
Hits
23
7
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112+240.30102—22:44
86N. KucherovR123+250.52000—21:03
21B. PointC000040.300002720:15
37Y. GourdeC011+120.190026019:37
6A. StralmanD000030.06100—18:49
91S. StamkosC112+240.540024418:48
18O. PalatL011010.02100—17:47
90V. NamestnikovC101+170.660125017:44
5D. GirardiD011000.04230—16:56
59J. DotchinD000+100.01110—16:45
55B. CoburnD000010.01010—16:40
9T. JohnsonC011-100.050005814:51
17A. KillornL112030.4410210014:47
98M. SergachevD000030.17210—14:01
23J. BrownR000020.12100—13:18
40G. DumontC000030.132006309:56
14C. KunitzL000000.00100—09:37
29S. KoekkoekD011+110.02000—06:22
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Budaj(W)24222.9172.68+0.6860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).