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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV NBCSN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Nicholas Shore scoring at 3:51. The Kings came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicholas Shore's goal at 3:51 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were LAK 43, ANA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 33 of 36 (.917); John Gibson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nicholas Shore (1 G), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    N. Shore1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK11011111715443
ANAANA2171120601336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:01
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    12:26
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:58

2nd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:52
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    19:01

3rd period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    5:49

Overtime

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:51

Penalties

LAK 30 PIM·ANA 21 PIM

1st

  • 7:25LAKKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Kase5 min
  • 7:25LAKKurtis MacDermid · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:08ANAKevin Bieksa · Slashingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 18:13ANARickard Rakell · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 5:33LAKDerek Forbort · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 5:33ANACorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 5:33LAKJonathan Quick · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 9:50ANACorey Perry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:03LAKAndy Andreoff · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 17:08ANAJared Boll · Fightingdrawn by Andy Andreoff5 min
  • 17:08LAKAndy Andreoff · Fightingdrawn by Jared Boll5 min

3rd

  • 5:39ANAserved by N. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:54LAKAdrian Kempe · High sticking double minordrawn by Chris Wagner4 min
  • 8:45ANAJakob Silfverberg · Interferencedrawn by Drew Doughty2 min
  • 15:29ANAKevin Bieksa · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 17:43ANAJosh Manson · Cross checkingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Nicholas Shore, OT 3:51 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.19S. Vatanen · Goal · xG 0.17C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.17C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.14J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.14J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.10A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.09K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.09J. Boll · Goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.08A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.06F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
3.54 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.43 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK61%39%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
43
Shots on goal
36
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/7
Power play
0/5
30
Penalty minutes
21
26
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
22
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-140.25110—35:31
27A. MartinezD000+130.30430—27:29
6J. MuzzinD011040.17340—25:23
23D. BrownR112+140.51600—25:04
11A. KopitarC112-120.321105824:58
24D. ForbortD000000.02222—19:45
19A. IafalloL022-130.37000—19:09
70T. PearsonL011050.44010—17:59
9A. KempeR101+130.151043316:32
73T. ToffoliC011+150.43000015:46
22T. LewisC000020.02100014:05
21N. ShoreC101+120.240006413:52
7O. FantenbergD000-110.02110—13:16
15A. AndreoffC000010.0810710009:30
25B. LaichC000-210.074007508:41
14M. CammalleriL000020.09000—05:30
52M. AmadioR000-110.071005004:00
56K. MacDermidL000000.000015—02:27
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)36333.9172.89-0.1163:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).