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Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV SN, TVAS·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4 in overtime, Max Pacioretty scoring at 3:07. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 3:07 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were MTL 50, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Al Montoya stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.0 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 45 of 50 (.900), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Shaw (2 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (45 saves, .900), 3. Shea Weber (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Shaw2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck45 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Weber2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL11711621314550
WPGWPG18142803423

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    10:44
  2. MTL
    A. Shaw(2)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    19:18

2nd period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    2:55
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:16

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    4:25
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    6:39
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    8:17
  4. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    15:16

Overtime

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.23win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    3:07

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·WPG 22 PIM

1st

  • 4:38WPGDmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 9:35MTLMichael McCarron · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 19:08WPGDmitry Kulikov · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 2:23WPGPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Jordie Benn2 min
  • 10:07WPGserved by B. Lemieux · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:24WPGJosh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min

3rd

  • 2:59MTLJeff Petry · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 5:33MTLPaul Byron · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min

OT

  • 1:54WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 3:07WPGDustin Byfuglien · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, OT 3:07 — MTL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.26P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.23A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.18B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.17P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.14P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.09D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
3.85 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.73 G
Power play
3 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL78%22%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
50
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
3/6
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
22
11
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
20
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD022-160.30010—29:08
26J. PetryD101+160.28222—23:27
92J. DrouinL011030.061103121:56
22K. AlznerD000+210.00010—20:52
67M. PaciorettyL123060.92000—20:13
8J. BennD000+160.10000—19:15
27A. GalchenyukC011050.33010018:43
11B. GallagherR011+120.31100—18:42
24P. DanaultC000030.211007718:00
65A. ShawR202040.590106317:41
14T. PlekanecC101+120.170005017:35
41P. ByronL000+120.15202—17:34
62A. LehkonenL000010.23100—17:14
45J. MorrowD000000.00200—13:28
53V. MeteD000-110.07010—10:56
54C. HudonL000010.04100—07:59
17T. MitchellC000010.030005007:43
34M. McCarronC000000.000026006:27
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Montoya(W)23194.8262.02-1.9863:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).