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Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, TSN3·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 0:43 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were WPG 19, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Alex Stalock stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, .966), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G), 3. Luke Kunin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    L. Kunin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1110612219
MINMIN07010112129

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:10

3rd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    0:43
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:36

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:39MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 7:44WPGBrendan Lemieux · Interferencedrawn by Matt Cullen2 min
  • 14:05WPGBlake Wheeler · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 15:57MINEric Staal · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

2nd

  • 6:44WPGTyler Myers · Elbowingdrawn by Daniel Winnik2 min
  • 9:34MINNino Niederreiter · Elbowingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 10:11WPGKyle Connor · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alex Stalock2 min
  • 15:35WPGMatt Hendricks · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 19:12MINMarcus Foligno · Embellishmentdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 19:12WPGPatrik Laine · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 3rd 0:43 — WPG 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.29M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.17G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.15L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.13C. Stewart · Missed · xG 0.11M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.10D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.09M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.08M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stewart · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02G. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01G. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN1 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
1.52 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG25%75%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
19
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
14
22
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
3
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000000.01210—25:53
8J. TroubaD000+120.05330—23:20
55M. ScheifeleC011+100.222005622:30
26B. WheelerR000+130.4000210021:52
39T. EnstromD000020.08030—18:56
57T. MyersD011010.08022—17:44
18B. LittleC000+110.131106517:19
44J. MorrisseyD000+100.00120—17:17
81K. ConnorL101+150.35012—16:33
27N. EhlersL101+120.10000—15:40
5D. KulikovD000000.00030—15:00
29P. LaineL000000.00012—13:20
13B. TanevL000-100.00020—12:51
16S. MatthiasL000-100.00110—11:42
9A. CoppC000-100.000105711:14
40J. ArmiaR000010.02110—10:14
15M. HendricksC000010.050023309:33
48B. LemieuxL000010.00102—07:02
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)29281.9662.85+1.8560:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).