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Devils at Senators
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸5
Ottawa Senators
4
Final/OTTV MSG+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 5-4 in overtime, John Moore scoring at 1:20. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Moore's goal at 1:20 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 46, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 41 of 46 (.891), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Moore (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nico Hischier (2 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Moore1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD21601421511546
OTTOTT1143100900433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(1)
    D. Stafford (1), T. Hall (5)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:30
  2. OTT
    K. Turris(3)PPG
    E. Karlsson (1), Z. Smith (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    2:57
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(2)
    T. Hall (6), J. Moore (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    4:21

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Brassard(4)
    B. Ryan (5), E. Karlsson (2)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:07
  2. OTT
    A. Burrows(1)PPG
    E. Karlsson (3), M. Hoffman (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    7:15
  3. OTT
    T. Pyatt(1)
    J. Pageau (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    15:49

3rd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(3)
    T. Hall (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    4:03
  2. NJD
    M. Johansson(3)
    K. Palmieri (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +38 pts
    4-4
    15:05

Overtime

  1. NJD
    J. Moore(2)
    T. Hall (8), N. Hischier (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:20

Penalties

NJD 14 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:51NJDDalton Prout · Roughingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 10:27OTTMike Hoffman · Interferencedrawn by Cory Schneider2 min
  • 16:00OTTJohnny Oduya · Boardingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 17:18NJDDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

2nd

  • 6:03NJDDamon Severson · Interferencedrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 8:11NJDMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexandre Burrows2 min
  • 8:11OTTAlexandre Burrows · Slashingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:21NJDDalton Prout · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 16:34OTTDion Phaneuf · Illegal check to headdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 4:42OTTDion Phaneuf · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 6:22NJDMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 8:19NJDSteven Santini · Trippingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: John Moore, OT 1:20 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.27C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.22A. Burrows · Goal · xG 0.21B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.17A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pyatt · Goal · xG 0.14D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.13B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05K. Turris · Goal · xG 0.04B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.03C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oduya · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
3.55 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.75 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.60 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD71%29%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
46
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
30
Hits
31
11
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000+340.16204—23:24
6A. GreeneD000+220.08220—22:32
2J. MooreD112+220.22420—22:10
16S. SantiniD000030.04222—21:02
14A. HenriqueC000+270.623003019:54
13N. HischierC213+120.481003818:20
9T. HallL044+230.21100—17:42
90M. JohanssonL101+120.201125017:42
21K. PalmieriC112+260.48310016:53
18D. StaffordR011010.1310010016:46
37P. ZachaC000030.170006313:41
40B. ColemanL000020.244103613:27
8W. ButcherD000-210.01310—12:55
63J. BrattL000000.06000—12:49
5D. ProutD000020.05114—12:34
39B. GibbonsC000020.220003312:10
44M. WoodL000020.01002—09:25
23S. NoesenR000020.15200—09:17
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider24204.8331.62-2.3840:00
1K. Kinkaid(W)9901.0000.72+0.7221:19

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).