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Sabres at Sharks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
San Jose Sharks
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 14:30 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were BUF 25, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 2. Chris Tierney (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Pominville (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    C. Tierney1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Pominville2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11011005225
SJSSJS2611208326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(1)PPG
    K. Labanc (1), M. Boedker (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:15
  2. BUF
    J. Pominville(3)
    J. Eichel (3), Z. Girgensons (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:26
  3. SJS
    C. Tierney(1)
    J. Donskoi (1), T. Meier (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:11

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Pominville(4)
    J. Eichel (4), Z. Girgensons (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:50
  2. SJS
    T. Meier(1)
    J. Donskoi (2), C. Tierney (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    14:30

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:36BUFMarco Scandella · Slashingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 18:02SJSTim Heed · Slashingdrawn by Benoit Pouliot2 min

2nd

  • 3:33BUFEvander Kane · Elbowingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 9:05SJSJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 10:18SJSBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Seth Griffith2 min

3rd

  • 7:35BUFMarco Scandella · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalBUF goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 14:30 — SJS 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.90J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.59C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.51T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.35T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.18T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hansen · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.04T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 4.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsSJS
1.52 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF39%61%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsSJS
25
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-160.05200—26:56
6M. ScandellaD000-200.01024—21:17
21K. OkposoR000050.33100—20:35
15J. EichelC022+120.100002519:37
82N. BeaulieuD000+200.02110—19:32
9E. KaneL000010.11202—19:31
90R. O'ReillyC000020.222006419:14
29J. PominvilleR202+130.211005017:17
5M. TennysonD000+210.02200—16:31
19J. McCabeD000-100.00230—16:04
4J. GorgesD000000.01150—15:06
28Z. GirgensonsC022+110.02520014:09
22J. LarssonL000-120.020003613:23
23S. ReinhartC000-100.071104013:08
67B. PouliotL000-120.31120—12:05
10J. JosefsonC000000.000006011:29
25S. GriffithC000000.00200010:07
17J. NolanC000000.00400009:54
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(L)26233.8852.11-0.8958:26

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).