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Wild at Red Wings
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Henrik Zetterberg's goal at 7:07 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 39, DET 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jimmy Howard (37 saves, .949), 3. Mike Green (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Mantha1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Green4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN015011213239
DETDET01321028431

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(1)PPG
    M. Frk (1), M. Green (1)
    wristxG 0.62win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    14:40
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(1)PPG
    M. Green (2), A. Mantha (1)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    15:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(1)
    C. Stewart (1), M. Foligno (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:00
  2. MIN
    C. Stewart(1)
    T. Ennis (1), K. Quincey (1)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    2:48
  3. DET
    H. Zetterberg(1)
    M. Green (3), T. Tatar (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    7:07
  4. DET
    M. Frk(1)
    A. Mantha (2), M. Green (4)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:39

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:47DETserved by A. Mantha · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:59MINMikko Koivu · Slashingdrawn by Henrik Zetterberg2 min

2nd

  • 1:50DETMike Green · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 2:13DETTrevor Daley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:29DETDavid Booth · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:31MINMathew Dumba · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 14:16MINDaniel Winnik · Slashingdrawn by Henrik Zetterberg2 min

3rd

  • 11:27MINCharlie Coyle · Cross checkingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 19:44MINEric Staal · Hookingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalMIN goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Henrik Zetterberg, 3rd 7:07 — DET 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.62G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.15M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.13F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.12F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.12H. Zetterberg · Goal · xG 0.11M. Frk · Goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.09F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.08J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06M. Green · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.04T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.04H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.04H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.03X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02M. Green · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.02D. Booth · On goal · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.01M. Green · Missed · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDET
3.82 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
1.60 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN66%34%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.72 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDET
39
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-150.16010—28:34
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.01000—23:52
24M. DumbaD000010.10202—19:39
25J. BrodinD000000.00010—19:15
3C. CoyleC000010.10432018:39
12E. StaalC000040.391027018:27
22N. NiederreiterR000050.71310—17:40
9M. KoivuC000-110.230126417:27
64M. GranlundC000-140.1810010016:25
16J. ZuckerL000-220.20100—16:17
27K. QuinceyD011+110.02010—13:51
17M. FolignoL011+120.38100—13:13
26D. WinnikL000030.24222—12:55
7M. CullenC000020.150005012:53
63T. EnnisR011+120.30200—12:04
4M. ReillyD000+110.01000—11:58
10C. StewartR112+110.40200—11:24
14J. Eriksson EkC101+130.170002710:56
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)31274.8712.82-1.1858:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).