NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
Win rate against xGF%32 clubs
Colorado Avalanche are near the top of both: 1st in expected goals share (5-on-5) (52.8%) and 1st in ability to win (.572). 12 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two move together closely (r = 0.84).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | xGF% | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52.8%#1 | .572#1 | |
| 2 | 51.4%#3 | .527#4 | |
| 3 | 51.4%#5 | .527#6 | |
| 4 | 50.9%#8 | .534#3 | |
| 5 | 51.4%#4 | .522#9 | |
| 6 | 51.7%#2 | .513#12 | |
| 7 | 51.3%#6 | .524#8 | |
| 8 | 50.7%#10 | .527#5 | |
| 9 | 50.9%#7 | .521#10 | |
| 10 | 50.2%#16 | .534#2 | |
| 11 | 50.7%#9 | .496#17 | |
| 12 | 50.2%#15 | .515#11 | |
| 13 | 50.2%#13 | .502#14 | |
| 14 | 49.4%#22 | .526#7 | |
| 15 | 50.2%#14 | .492#18 | |
| 16 | 50.2%#17 | .502#15 | |
| 17 | 49.9%#19 | .503#13 | |
| 18 | 50.2%#18 | .498#16 | |
| 19 | 50.7%#11 | .478#26 | |
| 20 | 50.4%#12 | .474#28 | |
| 21 | 49.5%#20 | .489#20 | |
| 22 | 49.4%#21 | .492#19 | |
| 23 | 49.2%#24 | .489#21 | |
| 24 | 49.4%#23 | .483#24 | |
| 25 | 49.2%#25 | .487#22 | |
| 26 | 48.5%#28 | .484#23 | |
| 27 | 49.1%#26 | .477#27 | |
| 28 | 48.3%#30 | .480#25 | |
| 29 | 48.6%#27 | .468#29 | |
| 30 | 48.4%#29 | .458#30 | |
| 31 | 47.9%#31 | .444#31 | |
| 32 | 46.6%#32 | .430#32 |
What the two axes are
Expected goals share (5-on-5). The club's share of expected goals at five-on-five, from our shot model. Blocked shots are not counted.
Ability to win. Recent win rate with newer games weighted more and every overtime or shootout game counted as a tie.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →
