NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
G − xG against xGF%32 clubs
Colorado Avalanche are near the top of both: 1st in expected goals share (5-on-5) (52.8%) and 1st in scoring above chances per game (+3.66). 8 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two barely move together (r = 0.07).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | xGF% | G − xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Avalanche | 52.8%#1 | +3.66#1 |
| 2 |  Penguins | 50.9%#7 | +1.88#4 |
| 3 |  Oilers | 50.7%#11 | +1.95#3 |
| 4 |  Mammoth | 51.4%#4 | +0.51#11 |
| 5 |  Blue Jackets | 50.7%#10 | +0.74#9 |
| 6 |  Golden Knights | 52.2%#2 | −0.24#19 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 50.9%#8 | +0.29#14 |
| 8 |  Kings | 50.7%#12 | +0.73#10 |
| 9 |  Senators | 51.3%#6 | −0.01#17 |
| 10 |  Ducks | 49.9%#19 | +0.95#7 |
| 11 |  Canadiens | 49.4%#22 | +1.52#6 |
| 12 |  Kraken | 49.2%#24 | +1.69#5 |
| 13 |  Wild | 50.2%#17 | +0.47#13 |
| 14 |  Lightning | 51.9%#3 | −1.12#28 |
| 15 |  Capitals | 50.2%#16 | +0.18#15 |
| 16 |  Canucks | 47.4%#31 | +2.19#2 |
| 17 |  Hurricanes | 51.4%#5 | −1.58#30 |
| 18 |  Stars | 50.8%#9 | −0.98#26 |
| 19 |  Islanders | 49.2%#23 | +0.50#12 |
| 20 |  Blues | 50.2%#15 | −0.52#22 |
| 21 |  Sharks | 47.7%#30 | +0.82#8 |
| 22 |  Panthers | 50.5%#13 | −1.06#27 |
| 23 |  Bruins | 50.0%#18 | −0.61#24 |
| 24 |  Rangers | 49.4%#21 | −0.51#21 |
| 25 |  Jets | 49.0%#26 | +0.07#16 |
| 26 |  Predators | 49.2%#25 | −0.40#20 |
| 27 |  Devils | 50.4%#14 | −2.36#32 |
| 28 |  Blackhawks | 46.6%#32 | −0.23#18 |
| 29 |  Red Wings | 49.7%#20 | −1.79#31 |
| 30 |  Maple Leafs | 48.6%#27 | −0.75#25 |
| 31 |  Flyers | 48.0%#29 | −0.61#23 |
| 32 |  Flames | 48.4%#28 | −1.18#29 |
What the two axes are
Expected goals share (5-on-5). The club's share of expected goals at five-on-five, from our shot model. Blocked shots are not counted.
Scoring above chances per game. Goals scored minus the expected goals of the club's own shots, per game this season, all situations, empty net left out. Finishing skill is a small part of it and luck the larger one, so a big number in either direction usually shrinks.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →