NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
Win rate against xGA − GA32 clubs
Ottawa Senators have the best combined rank: 5th in goaltending above chances per game (+1.18) and 2nd in ability to win (.539). 8 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two barely move together (r = 0.19).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | xGA − GA | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +1.18#5 | .539#2 | |
| 2 | +1.07#6 | .534#3 | |
| 3 | +1.20#4 | .515#11 | |
| 4 | +1.28#3 | .501#16 | |
| 5 | +0.36#14 | .533#5 | |
| 6 | +1.04#7 | .512#13 | |
| 7 | +0.67#10 | .515#10 | |
| 8 | −0.20#21 | .572#1 | |
| 9 | +2.09#1 | .489#22 | |
| 10 | +1.38#2 | .490#21 | |
| 11 | +0.59#11 | .513#12 | |
| 12 | +0.80#8 | .498#17 | |
| 13 | −0.11#19 | .527#7 | |
| 14 | +0.40#13 | .492#19 | |
| 15 | +0.06#17 | .502#15 | |
| 16 | −0.67#23 | .525#9 | |
| 17 | −1.91#29 | .534#4 | |
| 18 | +0.47#12 | .487#23 | |
| 19 | −1.38#27 | .526#8 | |
| 20 | +0.10#16 | .491#20 | |
| 21 | −0.44#22 | .509#14 | |
| 22 | −2.43#31 | .527#6 | |
| 23 | +0.78#9 | .468#29 | |
| 24 | +0.33#15 | .472#27 | |
| 25 | −0.79#24 | .496#18 | |
| 26 | −0.02#18 | .473#26 | |
| 27 | −0.12#20 | .469#28 | |
| 28 | −1.46#28 | .474#25 | |
| 29 | −4.07#32 | .478#24 | |
| 30 | −0.92#25 | .430#32 | |
| 31 | −1.26#26 | .434#31 | |
| 32 | −1.98#30 | .447#30 |
What the two axes are
Goaltending above chances per game. Expected goals against minus goals allowed, per game this season, empty net left out: what the goalies have saved beyond an average goalie on the same shots. Unlike the rating beside it, this is what happened, not pulled toward average.
Ability to win. Recent win rate with newer games weighted more and every overtime or shootout game counted as a tie.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →
