NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
Win% against xGA − GA32 clubs
Ottawa Senators have the best combined rank: 5th in goaltending above chances per game (+1.18) and 8th in win chance vs an average team (53.4%). 8 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two barely move together (r = 0.10).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | xGA − GA | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Senators | +1.18#5 | 53.4%#8 |
| 2 |  Mammoth | +1.04#7 | 54.2%#6 |
| 3 |  Capitals | +1.20#4 | 51.8%#10 |
| 4 |  Rangers | +1.28#3 | 51.1%#13 |
| 5 |  Stars | +0.59#11 | 55.2%#5 |
| 6 |  Lightning | +0.36#14 | 58.1%#2 |
| 7 |  Wild | +1.07#6 | 51.7%#12 |
| 8 |  Avalanche | −0.20#21 | 61.6%#1 |
| 9 |  Islanders | +2.09#1 | 48.8%#22 |
| 10 |  Hurricanes | −0.11#19 | 55.8%#4 |
| 11 |  Golden Knights | −0.67#23 | 58.0%#3 |
| 12 |  Kraken | +1.38#2 | 48.0%#25 |
| 13 |  Panthers | +0.40#13 | 51.0%#14 |
| 14 |  Ducks | +0.80#8 | 49.1%#20 |
| 15 |  Jets | +0.67#10 | 48.8%#21 |
| 16 |  Penguins | −0.44#22 | 51.8%#11 |
| 17 |  Red Wings | +0.33#15 | 49.4%#19 |
| 18 |  Maple Leafs | +0.78#9 | 45.4%#27 |
| 19 |  Sabres | −1.91#29 | 53.4%#7 |
| 20 |  Predators | +0.47#12 | 47.5%#26 |
| 21 |  Bruins | +0.10#16 | 48.2%#24 |
| 22 |  Blues | +0.06#17 | 48.8%#23 |
| 23 |  Blue Jackets | −0.79#24 | 50.6%#16 |
| 24 |  Oilers | −2.43#31 | 53.2%#9 |
| 25 |  Canadiens | −1.38#27 | 49.7%#18 |
| 26 |  Devils | −1.46#28 | 50.4%#17 |
| 27 |  Flyers | −0.02#18 | 44.8%#28 |
| 28 |  Kings | −4.07#32 | 50.8%#15 |
| 29 |  Sharks | −0.12#20 | 40.2%#30 |
| 30 |  Blackhawks | −0.92#25 | 38.5%#32 |
| 31 |  Canucks | −1.26#26 | 38.7%#31 |
| 32 |  Flames | −1.98#30 | 42.3%#29 |
What the two axes are
Goaltending above chances per game. Expected goals against minus goals allowed, per game this season, empty net left out: what the goalies have saved beyond an average goalie on the same shots. Unlike the rating beside it, this is what happened, not pulled toward average.
Win chance vs an average team. Our power rating: the chance of beating a league-average club on neutral ice. It is built from team results and cannot see a trade or an injury until games are played.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →