NHL Team Explorer
Does a club that out-shoots its opponents also out-score them? Who creates chances and gives few back? Put any two team measures on the axes; better is always up and to the right.
2026-27 seasonour ratings are for 2026-27
Win rate against Win%32 clubs
Colorado Avalanche are near the top of both: 1st in win chance vs an average team (61.6%) and 1st in ability to win (.572). 12 of 32 clubs are better than the middle on both. The two move together closely (r = 0.89).
Both measures, rankedordered by the average of the two ranks
| # | Team | Win% | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Avalanche | 61.6%#1 | .572#1 |
| 2 |  Hurricanes | 55.8%#3 | .527#6 |
| 3 |  Sabres | 53.5%#6 | .534#3 |
| 4 |  Lightning | 55.9%#2 | .522#9 |
| 5 |  Senators | 53.5%#7 | .527#4 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 54.7%#5 | .524#8 |
| 7 |  Oilers | 53.3%#8 | .527#5 |
| 8 |  Wild | 50.9%#12 | .534#2 |
| 9 |  Golden Knights | 55.7%#4 | .513#12 |
| 10 |  Capitals | 52.5%#10 | .515#11 |
| 11 |  Penguins | 52.3%#11 | .521#10 |
| 12 |  Stars | 52.8%#9 | .502#15 |
| 13 |  Canadiens | 49.3%#22 | .526#7 |
| 14 |  Bruins | 50.2%#17 | .503#13 |
| 15 |  Panthers | 50.4%#15 | .492#18 |
| 16 |  Blues | 49.5%#19 | .502#14 |
| 17 |  Rangers | 50.4%#14 | .489#20 |
| 18 |  Blue Jackets | 50.0%#18 | .496#17 |
| 19 |  Ducks | 49.4%#21 | .498#16 |
| 20 |  Kings | 50.8%#13 | .478#26 |
| 21 |  Jets | 49.5%#20 | .492#19 |
| 22 |  Devils | 50.4%#16 | .474#28 |
| 23 |  Islanders | 48.4%#24 | .489#21 |
| 24 |  Red Wings | 48.5%#23 | .483#24 |
| 25 |  Predators | 47.4%#25 | .487#22 |
| 26 |  Flyers | 46.0%#27 | .484#23 |
| 27 |  Kraken | 47.1%#26 | .477#27 |
| 28 |  Sharks | 43.5%#29 | .480#25 |
| 29 |  Maple Leafs | 45.9%#28 | .468#29 |
| 30 |  Flames | 42.6%#30 | .458#30 |
| 31 |  Canucks | 40.7%#31 | .444#31 |
| 32 |  Blackhawks | 37.5%#32 | .430#32 |
What the two axes are
Win chance vs an average team. Our power rating: the chance of beating a league-average club on neutral ice. It is built from team results and cannot see a trade or an injury until games are played.
Ability to win. Recent win rate with newer games weighted more and every overtime or shootout game counted as a tie.
A lower-is-better measure is drawn with its axis flipped, so the best clubs are always up and to the right. The dashed lines are the league median; r is how closely the two measures move together across the 32 clubs. Methodology →