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Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles

Houston Texans
Philadelphia Eagles
· Prime Video· Lincoln Financial Field

Market

Book
-2.5
o37.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Philadelphia Eagles is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-0.2
Eagles
Win prob
51%
Eagles
Likely range
-16 to 17
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1579 − 1660 = -3.2 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-2.1 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+0.2 Eagles

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Texans
Away
Our rating
1660#5
FPI rank
#122026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Eagles
Home
Our rating
1579#11
FPI rank
#92026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last meeting

Eagles 1–0
  • 2022 wk 9Eagles at Texans2917Eagles

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

HOU @ PHI
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