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Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders
· CBS· Allegiant Stadium

Market

Book
+5.5
o43.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Las Vegas Raiders is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
+6
Raiders
Win prob
68%
Chargers
Likely range
-23 to 10
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1219 − 1541 = -12.9 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-8.3 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
-6.0 Raiders

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Chargers
Away
Our rating
1541#14
FPI rank
#42026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Raiders
Home
Our rating
1219#30
FPI rank
#282026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 5 meetings

Raiders 1–4
  • 2025 wk 13Raiders at Chargers1431Chargers
  • 2025 wk 2Chargers at Raiders209Chargers
  • 2024 wk 18Chargers at Raiders3420Chargers
  • 2024 wk 1Raiders at Chargers1022Chargers
  • 2023 wk 15Chargers at Raiders2163Raiders

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

LAC @ LV
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Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders — Score, Line & Market | Gridpex · Gridpex