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Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
· FOX· AT&T Stadium

Market

Book
-10.5
o47.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Dallas Cowboys is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-5.8
Cowboys
Win prob
67%
Cowboys
Likely range
-11 to 22
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1441 − 1304 = +5.5 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+3.5 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+5.8 Cowboys

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Cardinals
Away
Our rating
1304#29
FPI rank
#312026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Cowboys
Home
Our rating
1441#20
FPI rank
#102026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 2 meetings

Cowboys 0–2
  • 2025 wk 9Cardinals at Cowboys2717Cardinals
  • 2023 wk 3Cowboys at Cardinals1628Cardinals

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

ARI @ DAL
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