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Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Cleveland Browns
New York Jets
· CBS· MetLife Stadium

Market

Book
-1.5
o39.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means New York Jets is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
+1.7
Jets
Win prob
55%
Browns
Likely range
-18 to 15
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1201 − 1353 = -6.1 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
-3.9 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
-1.7 Jets

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Browns
Away
Our rating
1353#28
FPI rank
#302026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Jets
Home
Our rating
1201#32
FPI rank
#292026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 3 meetings

Jets 2–1
  • 2025 wk 10Browns at Jets2027Jets
  • 2023 wk 17Jets at Browns2037Browns
  • 2022 wk 2Jets at Browns3130Jets

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

CLE @ NYJ
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