Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ersMarket
- Book
- -11.5
- o46.5
- Exchange
- —
- Volume
- —
- contracts
Spreads are home-relative — negative means San Francisco 49ers is favoured.
Our projection
how the number is built- Model
- -11.1
- 49ers
- Win prob
- 81%
- 49ers
- Likely range
- -5 to 28
- 8 in 10 games
- Rating gap
- 1647 − 1304 = +13.7 pts
- Shrunk ×0.644
- +8.8 pts
- Home field
- +2.25 pts
- Projected margin
- +11.1 49ers
Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.
The matchup
form, ratings and the series
- Our rating
- 1304#29
- FPI rank
- #312026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
- Our rating
- 1647#7
- FPI rank
- #12026
- Record
- 1-0
- Point diff
- +20+20/g
Last 5 meetings
49ers 3–2- 2025 wk 1149ers at Cardinals41–2249ers
- 2025 wk 3Cardinals at 49ers15–1649ers
- 2024 wk 1849ers at Cardinals24–47Cardinals
- 2024 wk 5Cardinals at 49ers24–23Cardinals
- 2023 wk 1549ers at Cardinals45–2949ers
From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.
Order flow
Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.
Who has moved
consensus -11.5| Venue | Now | Moved | vs cons. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKingsunmoved | -11.5 | 0 | 0 |
Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.
Total
The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.
Notable trades
Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.
Resting size
No order book for this market right now.