Higher Seed at Lower Seed
High––
Low–Win probability
Lower Seed52%
High 48%Low 52%
First pitch hasn't been thrown yet — the fatigue tracker lights up once the game starts.
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.