Tigers at D-backs
Last play · Zach McKinstry challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Zach McKinstry called out on strikes.
Win probability
D-backs100%
DET 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 5 – 1 AZ
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-156 / +129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Fernandez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Alek Thomas scores. (inning 8) — +66% D-backs
8Jose Fernandez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Alek Thomas scores.5–7
8Gabriel Moreno grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Zach McKinstry. Ketel Marte scores. Corbin Carroll out at 3rd. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd. Gabriel Moreno to 1st.5–4
8Corbin Carroll doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. James McCann scores. Jordan Lawlar scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd.5–3
4Jose Fernandez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
3Kerry Carpenter singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Riley Greene scores.5–0
3Riley Greene doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Colt Keith scores. Kevin McGonigle scores.4–0
3Kevin McGonigle singles on a ground ball to first baseman Carlos Santana. Jake Rogers scores. Colt Keith to 2nd.2–0
3Jake Rogers doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Parker Meadows scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
