Tigers at D-backs
Last play · Dillon Dingler grounds out, pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga to first baseman Jose Fernandez.
Win probability
D-backs100%
DET 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 1 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-156 / +129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tim Tawa grounds out, pitcher Kyle Finnegan to first baseman Colt Keith. (inning 8) — +12% D-backs
1Corbin Carroll homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
