White Sox at D-backs
Last play · Adrian Del Castillo flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
Win probability
D-backs0%
CWS 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 8 – 2 AZ
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Andrew Benintendi scores. Munetaka Murakami scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd. (inning 1) — -21% White Sox
9Ildemaro Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores.11–5
9Andrew Benintendi grounds into a double play, pitcher James McCann to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd. Reese McGuire out at 2nd. Andrew Benintendi out at 1st.11–2
9Umpire reviewed (rules check), call on the field was upheld: Sam Antonacci hits an inside-the-park home run (1) on a ground ball down the left-field line. Everson Pereira scores.10–2
5Alek Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.8–2
5Reese McGuire out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Taylor Clarke to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.8–1
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Geraldo Perdomo scores.7–1
2Colson Montgomery homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.7–0
2Miguel Vargas homers (4) on a line drive to left field.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
