White Sox at D-backs
Last play · Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs0%
CWS 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 1 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase Meidroth scores. Edgar Quero scores. (inning 9) — -47% White Sox
9Andrew Benintendi homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase Meidroth scores. Edgar Quero scores.4–1
3Miguel Vargas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Andrew Benintendi scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.1–1
1Adrian Del Castillo doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Everson Pereira. Ketel Marte scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
