Padres at D-backs

Scoreboard

SD7–AZ12

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu · SD 18-9 · AZ 15-12

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	1	2	0	3	1	0	0	0	7	11	0
AZ	0	0	0	0	1	1	6	4	·	12	15	1

Last play · Manny Machado lines out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.

Win probability

D-backs100%

SD 0%AZ 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 6 – 1 AZ

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

14.5

opened 16 ↓

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-136 / +113

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 7) — +44% D-backs

Scoring plays

SD–AZ · 8 total

8Ketel Marte singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Ildemaro Vargas scores.7–12

8Ildemaro Vargas triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores. Alek Thomas scores.7–11

7Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Corbin Carroll scores.7–8

7Tim Tawa hits a grand slam (1) to left field. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores. Alek Thomas scores.7–6

6Ildemaro Vargas homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.7–2

6Luis Campusano homers (3) on a line drive to center field.7–1

5Jose Fernandez homers (3) on a line drive to left field.6–1

5Manny Machado homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jackson Merrill scores.6–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.