Padres at D-backs

Scoreboard

SD6–AZ4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu · SD 18-8 · AZ 14-12

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	1	6	6	1
AZ	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	3

Last play · Ketel Marte grounds out, first baseman Ty France to pitcher Mason Miller.

Win probability

D-backs0%

SD 100%AZ 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 1 – 4 AZ

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

16

opened 15.5 ↑

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-108 / -112

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Xander Bogaerts scores. (inning 7) — -22% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–AZ · 7 total

9Ty France homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.6–4

7Ramón Laureano out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Gavin Sheets scores. Ty France to 3rd. Throwing error by right fielder Corbin Carroll.5–4

7Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Xander Bogaerts scores.4–4

7Gavin Sheets singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jackson Merrill scores. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.3–4

5Ty France homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4

2Alek Thomas homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Fernandez scores.0–4

2Jose Fernandez doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Nolan Arenado scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.