Pirates at D-backs

Scoreboard

PIT4–AZ2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Chase Field · PIT 21-17 · AZ 17-19

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	4	7	0
AZ	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1

Last play · Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.

Win probability

D-backs0%

PIT 100%AZ 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 3 – 2 AZ

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-103 / -117

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

D-backs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Bryan Reynolds scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd. (inning 5) — -16% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–AZ · 6 total

6Joey Bart homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.4–2

5Spencer Horwitz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Bryan Reynolds scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.3–2

5Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll, deflected by first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.2–2

3Corbin Carroll homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2

1Adrian Del Castillo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–1

1Brandon Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.