Rockies at D-backs
Last play · Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.
Win probability
D-backs100%
COL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 0 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+192 / -237
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Freeman hit by pitch. Troy Johnston scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Willi Castro to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Rockies
9Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.1–2
8Tyler Freeman hit by pitch. Troy Johnston scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Willi Castro to 2nd.1–1
6Corbin Carroll grounds into a force out, second baseman Chad Stevens to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Ryan Waldschmidt scores. Ketel Marte out at 2nd. Corbin Carroll to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
